InSight

Market InSights:

Rudolph with Your Nose So Bright

Investing 2021

If you don’t recall the most famous reindeer of all, Rudolph, the Montgomery Ward creation possesses the special characteristic to guide Santa’s sleigh among a fog that would have otherwise canceled Christmas. Like Rudolph’s nose, I’m going to highlight a couple of macroeconomics bright spots that we like right now, that will surely support markets and guide us through the fog of 2021. Enjoy the holiday season and may you have a prosperous new year. 

Unemployment – I think it’s fair to say that the spike in unemployment (fastest spike ever) and the subsequent drop in unemployment (fastest drop ever) have given politicians the hyperbole they need, but the rate getting back to 6.7% means a couple of good things going forward. Firstly, the “easy to lose” and “easy to return” jobs were flushed out in the spike, and the jobs that could easily return have. This means that while each percentage point from here on out is going to be harder and harder, the headline risk of massive jobless swings has likely settled for now. Unemployment in the +6’s has been the recent peaks for prior negative economic swings. In 2003, we peaked at 6.3%, 1992 7.7% even the economic crisis in 2009 only saw a peak of 9.9%. So at least the unemployment figures have gotten back to “normal bad” and not “historically bad”. But here is the good news for 2021, from this point forward we will get positive headlines for employment. I think we have crested, the liquidity in the markets has helped, and near term the unemployment outlook is stable. This pandemic is different than a cyclical recession, this can be resolved as quickly as the damage was done, and for between 4-8 quarters we can see a routine and constructive print for joblessness. This will be a supportive series of headlines for markets. 

Inflation – Inflation will be a headwind for bonds and cash but will be constructive for some assets. Those invested in equities will see an increase in capital chasing the same number of assets. This inflation will be constructive for stocks and other hard assets from 2021 but will cut into the expectations for the buying power of dollars going forward. Expect long term dollar weakness. Additionally, we’re not alone, this pandemic is global and I anticipate every central bank to prefer adding liquidity to their economies over the risk of inflation. Expect countries that emerge from the pandemic quickly to see a major tailwind from global inflation, those whose course is slower and shutdowns longer to be hampered by it.  

Debt – Record low borrowing costs should tee up leveraged companies for success. This is absolutely a situation where “zombie” companies will be created, so investors should be aware of the health of companies they are buying, but long term, allowing companies that have been historically highly leveraged to restructure at amazing rates, or even granting companies that have healthy balance sheets more cheap capital to take on more cap-ex projects for the at least a decade or more will be supportive for the market on the whole. As I write this, the 2-10 spread is .8%, in my opinion giving corporate CFO’s carte blanche to begin issuing new debt and extending all maturities on existing debt. Seeing these companies become so tenacious in the debt market normally would spook investors, but it’s hard to imagine a more supportive environment for borrowers than sub-2% borrowing costs for AAA companies and sub-4% for high yield borrowers. Debt was low for the recovery after 2009 and is now bargain-basement prices. These are rates that are likely to persist through 2021 and with Janet Yellen (Dovish) at the treasury, and no change in the attitude of the Fed I’m not seeing a change in sight. This will likely mean yields will be below inflation for some time as central banks try to juice the recovery at the expense of inflation. 

Earnings – Companies have broadly been able to understate their earnings projections through the pandemic. The science of slow-rolling their debts, and lowering the expectations of analysts has been fantastic. Companies across sectors have been able to step over the lowered bar without major disruption this year. Now while, for the most part, the pandemic has given them top cover to have earnings below their historic figures, the companies in the S&P 500 have done a fantastic job this year of collectively using this window to reset the expectations of investors without sounding alarms. Managing expectations lower, then beating them has been a theme in 2020, that in 2021 will look like a great trajectory for earnings as we emerge from COVID-19. This is going to be a fantastic and virtuous atmosphere of rising earnings. The usual suspects for this earning improvement cycle will show up, banks, technology, and consumer discretionary investors will like this reset in the cycle and the aforementioned upswing in earnings these groups are poised for.

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How Dentists Can Increase Revenue

There is a wall street mantra, “you can’t cut your way to growth” and that is as true for your dental practice as it is for any publicly traded company. Focusing on increasing revenue is still your best bet for expanding the bottom line. For most dentists, the best way to profit is to increase revenue and put an emphasis on effort that allows you to expand the top line. We review some of the steps other dentists have taken to increase bandwidth, reach, diversity and scale your income. By Kevin T. Taylor, AIF® Increase your client acquisition rate Of surveyed dentists the acquisition rate ranged between 20% to 30%. The average acceptance was 24%. This means that almost eight out of ten prospects you meet with each month are finding treatments recommended by you at a different office, or not at all. Expanding that case acceptance rate to even 50% would increase revenue twofold for the dental office on the same number of prospects. How do you get there? By making two changes to the way you approach patient acquisition.  Process – For our dentistry clients the client acquisition is a documented sequence of events that every prospect goes through. The focus on this pattern becomes repeatable and helps both to determine where prospects exit the sequins and gets your whole team into an organized way of doing business. But it’s key to also remember that people will do business based solely on the way they feel about a person, place, idea etc. So your process should be centered around a way a prospect feels about a decision at every step of the way. The process you implement should reflect that customer centricity and by thinking about every element of what the client goes through and the experience you are hoping to convey.  Teaming Up – Use the case presentation moment as a “team event.” Take this step away from solely being the doctor’s responsibility, and give elements of the presentation to office staff beyond yourself. This change pays dividends in both the way a client feels about their relationship with the office, and offloads some of the management of the engagement onto other people in the office. The presentation of your case cannot be based upon teaching the patient dentistry, that won’t move the needle for patients who decide to do dental treatment based on the way they feel about your team and you, not just the education you provide. Expand your capacity to Increase Revenue The amount of time you can commit to performing the technical aspect of dentistry the more capacity for revenue you will have. This shouldn’t be a revolutionary concept. Our clients focus on increasing revenue need to focus on total capacity by adding additional treatment space, hiring more staff, or adding another dentist or hygienist to the practice. These are all pretty straight forward, so to go a step further they also increase capacity to do more dentistry by increasing their efficiency.  How often are you rescheduling for hygiene? A General Practice should be 80% +.  Are you hygienists doing the rescheduling?  If not, they should be.  Don’t miss out on easy opportunities and don’t assume people are or aren’t doing something. Some other successful examples are setting up a routine for the rooms they visit, setting timelines, scheduling next visits, offloading the sterilization process, and gaining speed on dental procedures through organization. The summation of all these activities allows the dentist to get through more lucrative work, more quickly. Expand your capacity outside your practice – Sources of revenue are not limited to your professional capacity to earn, your profession should be viewed as a platform for generating income. Our dental professionals use their practice income to seed revenue generating activities in and out of the office. They find real estate, financing, medical lending, owning other practices, and other business opportunities to expand their network of income and leverage their profession and their income. Most dentists have at least one source of income beyond the office that they rely on either personally or professional.  Expanding the menu of procedures up market Veneers, implants, endodontics, and crown and bridge are examples of procedures that for our clients have had a higher profit margin and ultimately increase revenue. Offering these types of procedures expands the range you can bring to clients, and given their margin is a more effective use of time that can raise the top line. An important consideration is that the sheer size of the fee isn’t necessarily indicative that it‘s more profitable for the practice. Keeping time, and capacity in mind is the origin of scale when stretching up market.  Expand your market – You can increase the number of prospects you can review treatment plans with by doing more internal and external marketing. But our clients have noted that not all marketing is the same. Word of mouth is still the most popular, but often the hardest to manage and grow. While a concerted effort in online and traditional marketing can be costly and outside the skill set of many dentists. Regardless of the method, what is most important is focusing on ROI and scale, and likely bringing in resources to assist in this field.   It can be difficult to determine what strategy will have the greatest effect for your practice, and it is likely a combination of some or all of the above. Our Certified Financial Planners who specialize in dentistry can help contextualize what your current efficiency metrics look like, benchmark them with other practices, and help you build a platform for generating wealth and cash flow for yourself and your practice.  Increase Revenue by expanding your total market You can increase the number of prospects you can review treatment plans with by doing more internal and external marketing. But our clients have noted that not all marketing is the same when it come to an increase revenue objective. Word of mouth is still the most

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The Benefits and Risks of Investing in Student Housing Buildings

I remember my days at Carroll College, where student housing was little more than basic dormitories—bunk beds crammed into small rooms, communal bathrooms, and a dining hall that served as the heart of campus life. It was a rite of passage, but it was far from luxurious. Then, partway through my time there, everything changed. The first apartment-style dorms were built, offering private rooms, modern kitchens, and shared living spaces that felt more like upscale apartments than traditional student housing. Suddenly, “dorm life” was evolving, and so was the entire student housing industry. Why Student Housing? One of the biggest draws of student housing is its consistently high occupancy rates. Unlike traditional multifamily rentals, student housing operates on a predictable leasing cycle tied to the academic calendar. Most leases are signed well before the school year begins, ensuring strong demand year after year. Additionally, during economic downturns, higher education enrollment often increases, making student housing a more resilient investment compared to other real estate sectors. Rental growth in student housing is another compelling factor. With limited new supply and rising enrollment numbers, rental rates continue to climb. High barriers to entry, such as zoning restrictions and the cost of new development, help existing properties maintain strong pricing power. Investors also benefit from the growing interest of institutional buyers and private equity firms, which recognize the sector’s long-term appreciation potential. There are also significant tax advantages to investing in student housing. Many properties qualify for 1031 exchanges, allowing investors to defer capital gains taxes when reinvesting in similar properties. Depreciation deductions further enhance the financial benefits of owning student housing assets. Challenges to Consider Despite its many advantages, student housing does come with unique challenges. One of the biggest is high tenant turnover. Unlike traditional rental properties, student housing operates on shorter lease cycles, typically tied to the academic year. This means property managers must stay proactive in marketing and leasing efforts to ensure full occupancy each year. Maintenance costs can also be higher than in conventional rentals. Many student tenants are first-time renters, and properties may experience more wear and tear as a result. Budgeting for ongoing repairs and having a strong property management team in place is essential for maintaining asset value. The success of a student housing investment is also closely tied to university enrollment trends. If enrollment declines due to demographic shifts or changes in higher education preferences, occupancy rates and rental income could be affected. Additionally, regulatory and zoning challenges can sometimes create obstacles for student housing developments, requiring investors to stay informed about local policies. Another potential risk is market oversupply. While demand for student housing remains strong, certain markets can experience a surge in new developments, leading to increased competition and potential downward pressure on rents. Investors should carefully analyze supply and demand trends before committing to a market.   Student housing presents a compelling investment opportunity with strong demand, recession resilience, and attractive financial benefits. However, successful investing in this sector requires careful consideration of tenant turnover, maintenance costs, market conditions, and regulatory factors. With strategic planning, strong management, and thorough due diligence, student housing can be a valuable and profitable addition to a diversified real estate portfolio.  

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529 College Planning: 101

The Origin on 529s The origin story of the 529 program goes back to the Michigan Education Trust (MET) in 1986. A state-run program that supported colleges saving devoid of state income taxation.  529 plans are named after Section 529 of the Internal Revenue Code (IRC), which was added in 1996 to authorize tax-free status for ‘qualified’ tuition programs. The key reason savers enjoy the strategy is that earnings in 529 plans accumulate on a tax-deferred basis. Additionally, distributions are not taxed federally when the funds are applied to higher education and other associated expenses. The definition of other associated expenses is continuing to broaden. In 2015, it was expanded to include computers, in 2017, it included up to $10,000 annually in K-12 tuition, and in 2019 to include student loan payments up to $10,000 (over a lifetime) and costs of apprenticeship programs. Can a 529 plan be used at any college? You can invest in almost any state 529 plan, not just your own state’s 529 plan. This is an important discussion to have with your financial planner because while using your own state may make the most sense, there are important tax and investment considerations you should be made aware of. 529 plans can be used to pay for college costs and private schooling at any qualified school and several trade-school programs. Your choice of college is not limited by the state that sponsored your 529 college savings plan. You can be a Colorado resident, use the Nebraska 529, and send your student to college in New Hampshire. On our last count, there are more than 6,200 U.S. colleges and universities and more than 400 foreign colleges and universities that easily allow the use of 529s. Which states offer 529 plans? It’s up to each state to decide whether it will offer a 529 plan and what the taxation and limitations for savers might be. It is also up to the state to vet and sponsor the provider of that plan in a state. So 529 plans can offer wide changes from state to state, and there are strategies that might suit your InSight-Full® plan the best. You should understand the features and benefits of your plan before you invest and work with your CFP® to make sure you are getting the most out of the investments you are making. State and Federal Tax benefits The good news on taxation however is that there are only a few basic requirements to meet for the federal tax law, and some states offer state income tax incentives to investors as well.  A few states, including Colorado, offer state income tax credits for contributions to the state’s 529 plan. Research your state’s treatment of the 529 and how best to pair it with your overall financial plan. What can a 529 plan be used for? The most obvious application for these funds is for tuition and fees. But the program is actually far more attuned to the real costs of attending college. Books, supplies, equipment, computers, and sometimes room and board are also part of the expenses that can be covered. So the program becomes very flexible as the college picture starts to firm up. If your student gets a large scholarship, but it doesn’t cover room and board off-campus, the 529 might be able to step in and support that college experience. If everything is covered by sports, activities, academics, or work-study, then more can be left for the masters or doctoral program after a 4-year degree. The IRS also allows tax-free withdrawals of up to $10,000 per year, per beneficiary to pay for tuition expenses at private, public, and religious K-12 schools. This caveat allows parents and grandparents access to the tax benefits without needing to put money into investments for children that attend schools with tuition. You can simply use the 529 as a pass-through to capture the tax benefits then make the tuition payments accordingly. Additionally, tax-free distributions may be used to repay federal and private student loans up to a certain limit. How do I use my 529 plan? Using the distribution can be very open, or part of a rigid plan. Once you and the student are ready to start taking withdrawals from a 529 plan, most plans allow you to distribute the payments directly to the account holder. So the student can be reimbursed with a check personally, or more likely can have a distribution sent directly to the school. There is even a growing number of plants that support payments directly from your 529 accounts to another third party, such as a landlord. Read “using my 529 the right way” and “529: 102” to learn more. Remember, you will want to coordinate your distributions with your InSight-Full® plan, your CFP®, and your investment advisor to get the most out of your strategy. You will want to keep accurate records of your expenses, and will more than likely want to report contributions to or withdrawals from your 529 plan on your annual tax returns.

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