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Market InSights:

Tesla added to S&P500

Today is the last day that Tesla will not be part of the S&P. S&P Dow Jones Indices has announced Tesla’s addition Friday after the market close. Tesla will officially trade as a member of the S&P 500 by the time the market opens on Dec. 21. Today’s buy of Tesla at the market close will likely be the biggest buy order ever.

This means Tesla joins the S&P at today’s closing price, the volatility is already high because it is also the quadruple witching quarterly options expiration.

Some highlights you should know about TSLA’s inclusion:

  1. The addition of Tesla will cause the largest rebalancing ever of the S&P 500 ever – Tesla is the 9th largest company by market capitalization. Because most of the investments that track the SP500 are weighted by market cap, they will be adding more TSLA than anything else. It will represent about 1.5% of the index going forward. 
  2. The liquidity for Tesla will increase, as these passive funds enter the space, the access to TSLA will increase. Both to borrow and trade the access to TSLA should see some much needed liquidity.
  3. This will stabilize the historically volatile stock. The swings both directions on Tesla have been pretty epic over its lifespan. Expect that to temper somewhat. This won’t change Elon’s flagrant tweeting, or the inherently volatile relationship this company has with investors, but over time, such a large holding from passive tools like SPY will bring the range down on its intraday swings. Inversely, TSLA will start to bring its price instability to bear on the SP500 adding to its aggregate volatility.
  4. If you own exposure to U.S. Large Cap ETF’s and mutual funds, you will own more TSLA going forward. There is nothing you need to do to get the exposure. If you already own the TSLA stock outright, it is adding to the exposure. It’s likely time to rebalance.
  5. The SP500 will get a shot in the arm on the P/E ratio – expect this to jump suddenly, there is nothing wrong with the readout, TSLA’s PE (today) is close to 1300. Meaning you have to pay $1,300 for every dollar TSLA earns. Before today the PE on the broader SP500 was 37 (already high) and expect the bellwether that is Tesla to cause that further distortion. This inclusion may permanently impair any comparisons you or your broker has made to the PE of the SP500.
  6. Inclusion of TSLA, will cause some forced selling of other names of make room. Fund will have to make room for Tesla, and will push out 1.5% from the other names to make room.

The closest similarity we can draw is when Yahoo was added. It too was not a member of an S&P small or midcap index prior to its inclusion and had a similar rush to buy when it was included in 1999. As a reminder, this was considered the beginning of the “tech bubble” by many. Yahoo stock rose 50% between the announcement and its entry into the index at the time. 

Some funds have been adding to the TSLA position, in anticipation of this inclusion, but many passive funds are not allowed to until today, as close to the close as possible.

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Kevin and I have been spending a lot of time lately talking about AI, robotics, and the surge of investment chasing both. We’re fascinated by the big, headline-grabbing breakthroughs — self-driving cars, warehouse automation, generative AI — but just as curious about how these technologies will quietly work their way into the everyday parts of life. What happens when the same innovations that are transforming global industries start shaping something as simple and familiar as lunch? That question was on our minds when we walked into Kura Revolving Sushi Bar on the 29th St Mall in Boulder. We weren’t just looking for a quick bite — we wanted to see the future in action. Could automation, AI, and even a few robots take one of the most traditional dining experiences in the world and make it faster, friendlier, and maybe even more fun? Sushi on the Move — Literally When you walk in, the first thing you notice is the revolving conveyor belt gliding past with colorful plates of sushi. Each dish is neatly plated, covered, and labeled, ready to be grabbed in seconds. It’s almost hypnotic — watching plate after plate roll by, each one tempting you to reach out. This is where the magic really happens. You’re not staring at a menu, wondering what something will look like. Instead, you’re seeing it — vibrant salmon shimmering under its cover, neatly wrapped rolls stacked with fresh avocado, golden tempura shrimp with just the right crunch. Seeing the options roll past gets your mouth juices flowing in a way that no printed menu can. The UI That Runs the Show Kura’s dining experience is powered by a clean and responsive user interface (UI) at each table. If you don’t see what you want on the conveyor, you can order from the touch screen — everything from classic nigiri to desserts like mochi ice cream. The system tracks your order in real time, so you know exactly when it’s coming. When your dish arrives, it zooms in on a separate express belt above the main conveyor, stopping right in front of you. This keeps the pace brisk and ensures made-to-order items are just as fast as grabbing from the belt. Robots That Deliver Drinks One of the most futuristic moments? Ordering drinks. You tap in your selection — maybe a matcha iced tea, soda, or even sake — and within minutes, a robot server rolls up to your table. It stops precisely, presents your drink, and flashes a cheerful digital face. It’s efficient, fun, and a little whimsical — the kind of thing that makes you smile and think, Yep, we’re in Boulder. AI and Automation Behind the Scenes The visible tech is only half the story. Behind the scenes, AI quietly keeps the whole system running smoothly. It tracks how long each plate has been on the belt, ensuring freshness and automatically removing items that have been circulating too long. It monitors how many plates each table has taken, making it easy for servers to keep things moving without interrupting your meal. Kura even gamifies the experience — after a certain number of plates, you get a little prize dropped down from a slot above your table. It’s playful, encourages exploration, and adds a layer of fun that makes the tech feel less clinical and more like part of the experience. What We Ate: A Mix of Classics and First-Timers We decided to explore the menu the way Kura intended — grabbing what looked good as it passed by, mixing old favorites with new discoveries. In total, we polished off 12 plates between us. Some highlights: Salmon Nigiri – Simple, fresh, and buttery — a classic done right. Eel (Unagi) Nigiri – Sweet glaze with a warm, tender bite. Spicy Tuna Roll – A touch of heat balanced by cool rice and seaweed. Seared Salmon with Garlic – A flavor-packed twist we hadn’t tried before. 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