InSight

Market InSights:

Tesla added to S&P500

Today is the last day that Tesla will not be part of the S&P. S&P Dow Jones Indices has announced Tesla’s addition Friday after the market close. Tesla will officially trade as a member of the S&P 500 by the time the market opens on Dec. 21. Today’s buy of Tesla at the market close will likely be the biggest buy order ever.

This means Tesla joins the S&P at today’s closing price, the volatility is already high because it is also the quadruple witching quarterly options expiration.

Some highlights you should know about TSLA’s inclusion:

  1. The addition of Tesla will cause the largest rebalancing ever of the S&P 500 ever – Tesla is the 9th largest company by market capitalization. Because most of the investments that track the SP500 are weighted by market cap, they will be adding more TSLA than anything else. It will represent about 1.5% of the index going forward. 
  2. The liquidity for Tesla will increase, as these passive funds enter the space, the access to TSLA will increase. Both to borrow and trade the access to TSLA should see some much needed liquidity.
  3. This will stabilize the historically volatile stock. The swings both directions on Tesla have been pretty epic over its lifespan. Expect that to temper somewhat. This won’t change Elon’s flagrant tweeting, or the inherently volatile relationship this company has with investors, but over time, such a large holding from passive tools like SPY will bring the range down on its intraday swings. Inversely, TSLA will start to bring its price instability to bear on the SP500 adding to its aggregate volatility.
  4. If you own exposure to U.S. Large Cap ETF’s and mutual funds, you will own more TSLA going forward. There is nothing you need to do to get the exposure. If you already own the TSLA stock outright, it is adding to the exposure. It’s likely time to rebalance.
  5. The SP500 will get a shot in the arm on the P/E ratio – expect this to jump suddenly, there is nothing wrong with the readout, TSLA’s PE (today) is close to 1300. Meaning you have to pay $1,300 for every dollar TSLA earns. Before today the PE on the broader SP500 was 37 (already high) and expect the bellwether that is Tesla to cause that further distortion. This inclusion may permanently impair any comparisons you or your broker has made to the PE of the SP500.
  6. Inclusion of TSLA, will cause some forced selling of other names of make room. Fund will have to make room for Tesla, and will push out 1.5% from the other names to make room.

The closest similarity we can draw is when Yahoo was added. It too was not a member of an S&P small or midcap index prior to its inclusion and had a similar rush to buy when it was included in 1999. As a reminder, this was considered the beginning of the “tech bubble” by many. Yahoo stock rose 50% between the announcement and its entry into the index at the time. 

Some funds have been adding to the TSLA position, in anticipation of this inclusion, but many passive funds are not allowed to until today, as close to the close as possible.

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Kevin Taylor

Do your chores or there will be NO MONEY in your retirement account!!!! ~ DAD

First off, review this list of answers and accept how incredible this idea is, to both fund college, make your kids earn it, and do it all in a tax-advantaged way: Yes, income earned in the home can be put into a child’s Roth (within the rules) Yes, the income and savings can be used for college, or really any major life purchase Yes, it is a relatively easy strategy if you follow the below tips If you are raising your kids like I am mine, the early years are an important time to ingrain a set of good money habits that hopefully they keep for the rest of their lives. I require my kids to put 10% of any money they earn into the following categories, college, giving, and taxes (back to the family). Meaning they only ever get to spend about 70% of their income. This has been met with several comments ranging from “awesome” to “cruel”. But for my kids, it’s all they know. They don’t negotiate or object to taxes because it has always been how they get paid. I hand them a dollar and take a dime back instantly. It’s visceral, and habitual at this point.  I feel money is a difficult idea if children are never given the opportunity to handle it, hold it, and lose it. When it comes to teaching financial lessons, setting a good parental example is important, but actually giving the child some experience making wise financial decisions is essential. This includes both giving the child decision-making authority with their own money and giving the child the means to earn money outside of or instead of an allowance. This is where the Roth comes into play, and your opportunity to hire your child… This is an open platform to pay your children in a way that makes sense for your family. And the best part is that this payment can be counted as earned income and thus qualifying for Roth eligibility. But there are some rules you need to follow and this article will walk parents through the right way to keep the Roth eligibility intact.  You will want to make it clear, under which IRS designation you want to use. The two options are as a self-employed independent contractor or a household employee of yourselves.  This all might sound silly, hiring your child as a contractor, but the benefits make it worth it. I promise. And like taxing your children, it might only sound silly because it’s new, but your kids won’t know this isn’t normal and will just roll with it. The Independent Contractor Route… If you decide that your child is an independent contractor, then all of the child’s earnings must be reported as Self-Employed on Schedule C.  So it should be noted that if their net earnings from this kind of self-employment are more than $400, the child would need to pay self-employment tax (Medicare and Social Security) on Schedule SE. That’s an important threshold to be aware of.  Quite possibly the best part of choosing the independent contractor route is that your child could work for many different families. So if they are routinely engaging in neighborhood childcare, lawn maintenance, or other jobs in your community, this might be the most open path.  Let’s be clear though, this route still requires that the child follow the child labor laws. But these laws are reasonable restrictions for most circumstances.  The first law of note is the age restrictions on certain occupations. If your child is under 14, then the list of potential occupations is limited to: delivering newspapers to customers; babysitting on a casual basis; work as an actor or performer in movies, TV, radio, or theater; work as a homeworker gathering evergreens and making evergreen wreaths; and work for a business owned entirely by your parents as long as it is not in mining, manufacturing, or any of the 17 hazardous occupations. This is the sweet spot for any family that has 1or more family businesses.  At age 14 and above the universe of employment can expand to include: intellectual or creative work such as computer programming, teaching, tutoring, singing, acting, or playing an instrument; retail occupations; errands or delivery work by foot, bicycle, and public transportation; clean-up and yard work which does not include using power-driven mowers, cutters, trimmers, edgers, or similar equipment; work in connection with cars and trucks such as dispensing gasoline or oil and washing or hand polishing; some kitchen and food service work including reheating food, washing dishes, cleaning equipment, and limited cooking; cleaning vegetables and fruits, wrapping sealing, and labeling, weighing pricing, and stocking of items when performed in areas separate from a freezer or meat cooler; loading or unloading objects for use at a worksite including rakes, hand-held clippers, and shovels; 14- and 15-year-olds who meet certain requirements can perform limited tasks in sawmills and woodshops; and 15-year-olds who meet certain requirements can perform lifeguard duties at traditional swimming pools and water amusement parks. At age 16 or 17, almost any job that is not expressly prohibited (like alcohol serves or licensed operations) becomes available to children.  For more details on the standing labor laws and how they pertain to children consult YouthRules.Gov. The Household Employee Route… This is likely the more common route, and requires less diligence in what the job is, and the laws that protect it. There are two general guidelines you still note before you take this route:  Your list of jobs allowed under child labor laws expands significantly as you are allowed to “work for a business owned entirely by your parents as long as it is not in mining, manufacturing, or any of the 17 hazardous occupations” at any age. The wages are exempt from FICA taxes if they are working for a business owned solely by their parent(s). When determining if this employment is suitable this is the question you need to ask yourself: Does the employer (you) have control

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Kevin Taylor

Better Money Habits: The first 8 “good” money habits (1/2)

Finding yourself in a healthy and happy financial life means practicing better money habits. And, putting you and your family in the best position possible. Raising your income, having income that not employment related, mitigating taxes and positioning your assets in a way to provide maximum benefit for your family are all a part of having “good” money habits. Following these eight very controllable tips will have a positive impact on your families outlook. Your net worth to the world is usually determined by what remains after your bad habits are subtracted from your good ones. ~ Benjamin Franklin By Kevin T. Taylor AIF® and Peter Locke CFP® Pay yourself first For many, money gets mentally earmarked as spending, investing, saving, and giving away.  For some, finding the right balance among these four categories is difficult but essential, and a budget can be a very useful tool to help you accomplish this. So, one of the best better money habits, is paying yourself first. This becomes the mantra for the most successful savers and is the fuel for a financial plan. Here is the two step “Pay yourself first” plan: First create a budget: The only way to start planning is to create a budget. Thinking about both the near-term and long-term financial goals and what a monthly spend looks like and what one you can aspire to have in retirement might look like. This will help generate a baseline for mapping out and putting other better money habits in place. But don’t make the mistake of using this formula, Income – Expenses = Savings. This is the source of most people’s failure to plan. Because it makes you and your future self come last, i.e. the end result of the equation. Create a budget with the future you in mind, that version of your future self is the most important part of the equation. That equation should look like Income – Required Savings = Expenses.  Then create a budget that is less than the expenses amount. Although difficult to implement, this is the priority that financially healthy people adopt. Automate your savings: Making savings a priority in your budget.  Consider determining a specific amount and making a deposit on a regular basis. Think about your 401k or other company contribution plan where funds are taken automatically from your paycheck and deposited in an investment vehicle or savings plan with every run of payroll. Your personal savings plan should be no different.  In order to do this, you need to know your required rate (read and listen to our required rate podcast for more information) so you know how much savings you need to put away at your required rate to reach your goals. Know your tax plan The entirety of the IRS tax plan is complicated, full of loopholes and derived from years of bolting on special interests onto the code. Hence, the process of doing taxes reflects this. But, the second of the better money habits addresses this. At its core there are four main sources of income: Employment, investments, inheritance and windfalls. Each of these sources may be taxed in different ways and at different levels. Have a plan and control what you can control.  Have two plans for how you want to be taxed: Tax plan today: You may not feel like you have a lot of control over how you’re taxed and at what rate. But if you take a step back, you will find you have far more control then you may be aware of. Lets build on the budget example.  If you know exactly what your monthly spend looks like, then you can have more control over the total that goes into pre-tax or after-tax savings options. Think about it this way, if you make $100,000 a year but your budget only requires $80,000, then by letting yourself accept all that income you’re likely surrendering somewhere between $5,000 – $9,000 to taxes of the remaining $20,000. This should be written down as a total loss of income that could have been prevented with the use of a budget and a tax plan. Tax plan tomorrow: Knowing how to mitigate taxes in your working years is great, but having a plan for after retirement may be more important. One of the most tragic events in retirement is being confronted with the risk of a short fall, well into retirement. Finding out that your shortfall was the result of poor tax planning and income management. Having a plan in place in your working years, for how you fund pre-tax, Roth, and post tax savings gives you options for controlling the amount you will pay in taxes in a given year in retirement. This helps elongate the timeline your cash will survive, and gives you flexibility for a changing taxation landscape. Additionally, having a diverse source of cash flow from investments is a better money habits you will develop. If placed in the proper accounts it helps confirm both the amount and source of income throughout retirement. Every dollar that is mitigated in tax planning in retirement, helps to elongate the plan, support measures for unforeseen risks, and adds to your legacy. Remember: Tax nuances exist in every area of wealth planning. There may also be opportunities to incorporate potential tax benefits into your plans but oftentimes there are also negative tax consequences associated with certain decisions. It’s important to step back now to have a vision for yourself, so you can plan accordingly. Additionally, when choosing the best investments for your circumstances, taxes should not be the only consideration.  It’s important to factor in the after-tax rate of return in determining tax-efficient investments. For these reasons, it’s crucial to consult with a qualified tax advisor to ensure your circumstances and needs are appropriately accounted for. Stop living on borrowed time All borrowed money needs to be divided into two camps, accretive and erosive. When you borrow money you are borrowing from that money’s future

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The Ethical Implications of AI Investing

Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing the way we live and work, and as a result, there has been a surge of interest in AI investing. While AI has the potential to create significant value for investors and society as a whole, there are also ethical implications that must be considered. As AI technology continues to develop, there are growing concerns about its impact on privacy, employment, and overall societal well-being. In this blog post, we will explore some of these concerns and suggest ways that we can use AI in a responsible manner. Privacy Concerns One of the primary ethical concerns related to AI is privacy. As AI becomes more prevalent, it has the potential to collect and analyze vast amounts of data about individuals, raising questions about who has access to this data and how it is being used. AI algorithms can also inadvertently perpetuate bias, particularly if they are trained on biased data sets. To mitigate these concerns, AI investors can take steps to ensure that the companies they invest in are committed to privacy and transparency. This could include conducting due diligence on companies’ data collection practices, advocating for responsible data governance, and supporting the development of ethical AI frameworks. Conflict with Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing has gained significant popularity in recent years as investors increasingly consider the social and environmental impact of their investments. However, there is a growing conflict between ESG investing and the new push into AI. On the one hand, AI has the potential to significantly reduce carbon emissions and improve sustainability by optimizing energy consumption, reducing waste, and improving supply chain management. For example, AI can be used to optimize building energy usage, reducing energy consumption and lowering carbon emissions. AI can also help companies optimize their supply chains, reducing waste and improving the efficiency of logistics. However, there are also concerns about the ethical and social implications of AI. AI systems can inadvertently perpetuate bias, and there are concerns about the potential for AI to be used for surveillance or manipulation. There are also concerns about the impact of AI on employment, particularly in industries that are heavily reliant on low-skilled labor. These concerns pose a significant challenge for ESG investors, who must balance the potential environmental benefits of AI with its ethical and social implications. To address this challenge, ESG investors can advocate for greater transparency and accountability in the development and deployment of AI technologies. They can also support the development of ethical AI frameworks and regulations that guide the responsible use of AI. In addition, ESG investors can support the development of AI technologies that are aligned with ESG principles, such as those focused on improving sustainability, reducing carbon emissions, and improving social outcomes. This could include investing in companies that are focused on developing renewable energy solutions, or that are developing AI systems that can help improve access to healthcare or education. Societal Well-being Concerns Finally, there are concerns about the broader societal impact of AI. As AI technology becomes more ubiquitous, there are concerns about its potential to exacerbate existing social inequalities, perpetuate bias, or even be used to manipulate individuals or governments. To address these concerns, AI investors can support the development of AI technologies that are aligned with societal goals, such as improving access to healthcare or reducing carbon emissions. They can also advocate for greater transparency and accountability in the development and deployment of AI technologies, and support the development of ethical frameworks and regulations that guide the responsible use of AI. Conclusion AI investing offers significant potential for investors, but it also comes with ethical considerations that cannot be ignored. By advocating for responsible AI development and supporting companies that are committed to transparency, accountability, and ethical governance, we can help ensure that AI is used in a way that benefits society as a whole. Ultimately, it is up to us as investors to take an active role in shaping the development and deployment of AI technologies so that they are aligned with our values and priorities.

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